Pushing the Limits of Forecasting Monsoon Onset and Withdrawal

In light of the changes in global climate patterns, predications become even more important. In response to the limitations of existing models, a revolutionary approach has been developed to overcome these challenges, relying on nonlinear dynamics theory and nonlinear phenomena in statistical physics. Such a strategy opens possibilities for long-term predictions in meteorology and climate science. It applies to cases when the numerical models fail, particularly the monsoon timing prediction.

Dr. Elena Surovyatkina’s lecture will promote understanding of the essential physical mechanisms of the nonlinear nature of monsoon arrival and withdrawal is crucial, to allow for explaining the abrupt nature, spatiotemporal heterogeneity, and interannual variability of monsoon timing.

The lecture will be followed by a workshop on capacity building.